The fifth-seeded Dallas Mavericks meet the fourth-seeded Los Angeles Clippers in Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round series on Wednesday at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Dallas as the 3-point favorite, while the over/under is 208.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). The Clippers' Kawhi Leonard (knee) has been ruled out.

Before you make any Mavericks vs. Clippers picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 91-62 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Mavericks point guard Luka Doncic is coming off a triple-double in Sunday's loss to the Clippers. In that game, he scored 29 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out 10 assists. In four postseason starts, he is averaging 29 points, 9.8 rebounds, 8.5 assists and one steal in 43.3 minutes. During the regular season, Doncic averaged 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds in 37.5 minutes. He became the first player in league history to average 33 points, nine rebounds and nine assists in a season.

The model also knows Clippers shooting guard James Harden has stepped up his play and is coming off a 33-point, seven-assist and six-rebound performance in Sunday's Game 4 win. He has scored at least 21 points in all four games of the series. In Game 1, he narrowly missed a double-double with 28 points, eight rebounds and two blocks in a 109-97 win.

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Clippers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Mavericks vs. Clippers, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 91-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks!